Expert College Basketball Picks

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Buyer Beware - Betting Huge NCAA Underdogs

Finding value in the lines is critical to your bankroll building strategies. You have to know how to spot the oddsmakers misfires and stay away from their traps. We suggest devoting at least 4-6 hours daily research into the college basketball lines before making any bets. This way you can weed out the smart money lines from the vegas trap. If you do not have this type of manhours to devote to finding smart investments across the daily lines, please contact www.nbachoice.com to do the homework for you. NBA Choice has provided 60% + winning percentages over the past decade to their value clients.

When To Bite - Knowing when to bite on hue underdogs can be tricky when analyzing the daily lines. It's very easy to fall into the vegas trap by skimming down the lines and seeing whale spreads of 20 points or more. Often times or not, these lines are right on point with talent and expected line value - meaning you should do your research to find if this value is true or not. More often times than not 20+ point away underdogs are getting that many points for a reason. Check out their road history ATS with this squad they are playing with. Look for trends and patterns in the data. You also should check for their winning or losing momentum as you have to remember these are college kids. They can be easily influenced by losing streaks and winning streaks. Confidence levels must be assessed by scouting these teams and analyzing team reports. It's not always about statistics.

Home underdogs of 20 points or more or always worth at least a glance. Home court advantage in college basketball is critical when analyzing line value. Players get up for games at home much differently than on the road. Every situation is different, so buyer beware. You have to make sure to do your research on the team thats laying the points as well as the underdog. See their chemistry, momentum, ATS records in this spot, team stats, home performance, road performance, etc. There are approximately 100 factors that must be considered for every game listed when analyzing the daily lines. If you do not have at least 4-6 hours research to put into the daily card analyzing huge underdogs of 20 points or more, please contact NBA Choice to deliver profitable smart money college basketball picks throughout the season.

Article provided by: www.nbachoice.com

College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #2 (Continued)

College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #2: Part B: Hot Streaks

As we mention in College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #2 - Part A: Due Cover, smart research with extensive database mining can uncover teams that are due for a huge cover. Today, we will discuss a strategy that involves finding key hot streaks across the college basketball slate. We suggest devoting a minimum 4-6 hours research every day into finding smart money hot streak plays. If you don't have this type of time on your hands, please contact the college basketball handicapping experts at www.nbachoice.com to help you with smart investment strategies utilizing daily college basketball picks.

Hot Streak Favorites

With any college basketball card, it is important to find meaningful hot streaks ATS favorites that have a high percentage of covering their next game. For example: Team A : Great road team (Winning 80% or more of their road games) playing with winning momentum (Defined as winning their last 3 consecutive games) against an average home team Team B: (A team marked as winning 50-60% of their home games) that is coming off a SU loss. When installed as the small favorite (4.5 points or less) have covered 64% of the time over the past 10 years. That's an outstanding 6.4 times out of every 10 games this situation will cover for you. Data provided by www.nbachoice.com.

This is just one of the many statisticallly solid scenarios you can uncover in the daily lines with hard work and research to start your day. The experts at NBA Choice have made a living for their clients by cashing in on key opportunities like these on the daily card.

If your looking for statistically reliable winning college basketball picks that show consistent profit, look no further than the experts at www.nbachoice.com to show you the winning ways.

College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #2

Finding Value In Favorites: Part A - Due Cover

As we mentioned in College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #1, the most value is found in small to medium lined underdogs who can win outright. In this session we will discuss the basics in finding favorites that are due for a cover. You can find more information and today's college basketball picks at www.nbachoice.com.

Finding value in favorites is not an easy task to accomplish. We devote the same amount of research hours to finding smart favorites that are due for a cover. We suggest devoting at least 4-6 hours research every day in finding favorites that are due for a cover. If you do not have the minimum time suggested, we suggest that you contact www.nbachoice.com to help you with your daily college basketball selections. With a full expert college basketball handicapping staff to devote to the daily lines, you can be assured very high winning percentages throughout the season.

Due Cover

Every day the college basketball line report will represent multiple opportunities to find a smart favorite that is due for a cover. When we say this team is due, we mean this team is due. For example: A great home team (A team that has won more than 80% of their home games in any season) that lost their previous home game SU playing a poor road team (A team that loses 80% or more of their road games) coming off an ATS loss has been proven to cover 66% of the time when favored 11-23 point range over the past 10 years. If you look, thats close to 7 of every 10 times this situation represents itself.

This is just one of the many statistical scenarios represented across the daily card that provide excellent opportunity to invest if favorites due for a cover. The experts at NBA Choice have made a name for themselves uncovering these types of smart money situations for the past decade. With an extensive database and an expert staff to mine the database for college basketball gold daily, you can't go wrong with the experts at www.nbachoice.com.

NBA Choice has maximized earnings for their clients by finding smart money investments like the one mentioned here today for the past decade. That's why the experts at NBA Choice have never fallen below the 60% mark for each season since inception.

We hope you have enjoyed this strategy session. Please contact www.nbachoice.com if you have any questions about the methodologies mentioned above.

View Part 2 of This Session - Click Here.

Friday, February 27, 2009

Making College Basketball Picks - Strategy Session #1

Winning your college basketball bets takes time and research. You can't simply look down the daily card and make gut shot calls. If so, you will never make any money and become victim to the vegas trap. If you can't dedicate at least 4 hours research every day into your basketball bets, you should use a reputable sports handicapping service to do the research for you. There are a lot of scamdicappers out there, so please do your research. We recommend going with a basketball focused handicapping service like NBA Choice to give you the winnings you demand.

One college basketball betting strategy that will help you win more college basketball picks is playing underdogs that can win outright. At NBA Choice, this is the #1 method of finding value in daily underdogs that can win outright on the card. Vegas is prone to making mistakes every day, and you can find them if you devote enough time and research into the college basketball lines every day.

If your looking to find a solid underdog on the daily card, you may want to focus in on the lines that are 10 points or less. It is these dogs that are the most likely to win outright and therefore have a stronger chance of covering the spread than dogs of 11 points or more. Remember, were looking for underdogs that can win outright, therefore we find value in the lines.

Finding value in the lines across the board takes much time and research. Especially when you consider the fact that there are 25+ games on the schedule throughout the week and weekend. Thats a lot of games and unfortunately only so much value can be representative across the board. Thats why we suggest devoting at least 4 hours research in the morning to get a clearer picture of the card. Make sure to look at the lines first, then do your research of team reports, injuries, shcedule strenght, power ratings, etc.

In review, part 1 of a smart college basketball betting strategy is finding underdog winners that can win outright on your daily card. These smart dogs typically fall into the 10 points or less range. Once you find a strong list of dogs that can win outright, narrow them down to a few selections that are strong.

Total research hours for this process should never fall below 4 hours and can go up to 8 hours every morning. The college basketball betting experts at NBA Choice are up in the morning researching the daily lines before most folks are even out of bed. If you can't devote this type of dedication to your college basketball bets, then please contact NBA Choice to give you expert professional advice during the college basketball season.

See Today's Winning College Basketball Picks